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CAP REFORM: A LONG-TERM PERSPECTIVE FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

Dr. Franz Fischler
EU Agriculture, Rural Development and Fisheries Commissioner

Organized by CELI (Congressional Economic Leadership Institute)
Washington, DC
February 5, 2003

Ladies and Gentlemen,

Agricultural world trade has doubled in the last 10 years and, in the WTO (World Trade Organization), we are about to hammer out more far-reaching international rules for our sector than ever before. It is with great pleasure, therefore, that I accepted your invitation to discuss our respective farm policies here today.

I would like to outline briefly the direction of European agricultural policy compared to that of US policy. I shall then summarize our proposals for the WTO negotiations, compared to yours. Finally, I wish to say a few words on the way forward in those negotiations.

I am very much aware of the passion that the EU’s Common Agricultural Policy—or the “CAP” as we call it—still raises on this side of the Atlantic as it, incidentally, does on ours. Not a week goes by but I see reports blaming our policy for one or other problem on the market. I am surprised that we have not yet been blamed for the drought this year!

And this is in spite of the fact that our policy has been gradually but consistently changing. When I was here in 2001, I spoke of the changes since 1992, as a result of two major reforms, and which resulted in a clear move away from the most trade- and production-distorting measures of support.

With the new reforms which I proposed two weeks ago, we are pursuing the policy of support of our farmers while further reducing trade distortion and production distortion. Consistency is one of the defining characteristics of our policy.

I should first mention that, regarding our overall resources, late last year a decision was taken whereby the EU budget for agriculture will increase by a maximum of 1% per year between 2006 and 2013. In other words, a decline in real terms even though our farmer numbers will increase by over 50% to 11 million in 2004 due to EU enlargement. Compare this with your decision to convert the ad hoc payments of recent years into the permanent budget available for agricultural support.

It is in this context that our latest reform proposals have been made. So we start with our financial constraints, and within that framework we aim to improve the efficiency of our instruments. Our primary objectives are to make farmers more competitive, promote more market-oriented and sustainable farming and to revitalize the countryside.

One of the more important elements of the package is a total decoupling of direct aid from production. This will allow farmers to respond better to market signals and will be virtually non-distorting in trade terms. The OECD has just calculated that the trade distortion effect of decoupled farm aid is less than 7% that of US output payments.

I am sure that our objectives will remind you of yours when you introduced the FAIR Act! It is not, however, a proposal to give farmers hand-outs for doing nothing. Quite the contrary; the payments will be conditional upon compliance with strict binding standards in environmental protection, food safety, animal health and welfare and occupational safety. These agricultural functions and contributions are very important concerns in European society and will not be delivered through market forces alone.

We also propose to increase the emphasis on rural development and to reduce market support further (rice, minus 50%; cereals, minus 5%; milk, minus 28%).

If these proposals are agreed, trade-distorting domestic support will be further reduced and export subsidization will also fall further from its current level, which is only 5% of export value compared to about 25% in the early 90s. But let me be clear: these results are not our primary objective. We are primarily adapting our policy to meet the concerns of our citizens including the protection of the environment, quality and food safety, budgetary discipline and so on. The fact that our reform is consistent with the direction of the reform called for by the WTO's Agreement on Agriculture is an additional advantage.

This is in rather stark contrast to the policy developments in the US, where you started by increasing the finance available and then turned back the clock in terms of policy instruments with your recent Farm Bill. You will remember the pride you took in the innovative aspects of the FAIR Act, with its fixed and gradually declining payments which reduced the counter-cyclical trend of previous policies and which was expected to result in significant budget savings as well as minimizing trade distortion. You will also recall that in 1997, USDA estimated that your AMS, that is, the part of domestic support which must be reduced under the Uruguay Round commitments, would fall to $2.4 billion by 1999 and $1.2 billion by 2000.

What happened? Well, as you know all too well, emergency packages were introduced annually and last year US policy reintroduced the most trade-distorting support. Meanwhile the expected $2.4 billion AMS for 1999 swelled to some $15 billion.

In short, US farm policy is tending more and more to encourage production increases, depress prices and substantially insulate the farmer from the realities of the market place just as we used to do in Europe. My latest proposals continue our move in the opposite direction.

Now let me come to my second point, the WTO negotiations. The Council of Ministers last week unanimously endorsed our proposal for modalities in the WTO agricultural negotiations. When we make proposals to the WTO, we base them on our policy and agree them with our Member States. Unlike the US, we cannot come out with proposals which are in contradiction with our policy direction. Also here, consistency prevents us from big, dramatic gestures as a negotiating tactic. But it means that, when we talk the talk, we can walk the walk—we can deliver what we offer.

Our proposal clearly demonstrates the EU’s commitment to ensuring the success of the Doha Development Round in that it is ambitious, pragmatic and takes full account of the interests of the single most important group of countries in the negotiations—the developing countries.

We have proposed substantial reductions: of 55% in trade-distorting subsidies; of 45% on export subsidy expenditure; of 36% on tariffs. I am aware that your Administration has made more radical proposals, which however appear to have little chance of success in Geneva, since extreme proposals only provoke extreme counter-reactions. But let me dare to ask you this: would Congress be prepared to accept a reduction of trade-distorting domestic support to EUR 10 billion if those measures currently notified under the de minimis rule were included? The gigantic loophole which the de minimis exemption represents must be closed, at least for developed countries. In its present form, the US is notifying some $15 billion in trade-distorting support while excluding $8 billion from the calculation as de minimis—and this compared to a ceiling of $19.1 billion. Without that loophole you would already have exceeded your commitment in 1999.

On export subsidies, we are prepared to cut further but only if all forms of export subsidy are disciplined. The Uruguay Round saw only that form of export subsidy used by the EU disciplined. There will be no unilateral disarmament by the EU this time round. Export credits, predatory pricing of State Trading Enterprises and dumping of surpluses under the cover of food aid must all be brought under discipline. It is not acceptable that when the US has surplus stocks of skimmed milk powder they offer it as food aid, irrespective of need. Food aid is intended to help those in need, not act as a dumping ground: to fulfill this purpose it must be targeted, in fully grant form, and respond to what is required. I should perhaps add that if food aid is supplied from the region around the needy area, it both benefits the region more broadly and is most likely the appropriate product for the local requirement. I mention this because in response to the recent crisis in Zambia, while the US was pushing Zambia to accept a product which it did not want—GMO maize—we donated money which was used to source maize in South Africa, Malawi and Tanzania.

We are very conscious that it is the developing countries for whom the round has been named the Doha Development Agenda and it is this group of countries which can best determine whether these negotiations are a success or not, rather than the positions of the EU, US or Cairns. It is in recognition of their concerns that our proposal has a strong focus on their interests. In particular, we have made proposals to increase access for developing country produce and to give them additional flexibility in implementing commitments. In short, the EU proposal offers developing countries much more than just nice words.

Finally, the question of non-trade concerns must be addressed. The EU is not the only one who has non-trade concerns: there are many members of the WTO who hold strong views in support of the need to take account of these.

Basically we are talking about a recognition that sustainable agriculture means much more than quantity of output. The WTO must also address the interests of consumers, the environment, rural development and food safety. It is not in anyone’s interest that the WTO be seen as a body which promotes trade liberalization at any price. There must be a balance between this objective and other interests of concern to society.

Some people seem to be concerned that our objective in promoting non-trade concerns is in some way a ruse to give farmers more money. I already mentioned the freeze on agricultural expenditure until 2013: there is no more money. Others think it is a form of hidden protectionism. Our standing as the largest importer of agricultural products in the world and the largest importer from developing countries, our proposal for further tariff reductions and our specific proposals to address non-trade concerns should set these suspicions to rest.

I will not analyze the US proposals in detail but in terms of comparison let me repeat: our proposals are consistent with our policies and consistent with the declared objectives of the Doha Development Round. Moreover, they do not only ask others to make efforts; we are ready to put our money where our mouth is. The US proposals, on the other hand, do not fulfill these criteria: on domestic support; the proposals are directly contradictory to the direction of the Farm Bill. On market access the US asks far greater efforts from the developing countries than from the US itself. On export subsidization the focus is essentially on export refunds, whereas little is offered on export credits, of which the US is the main user, nor on the question of reducing the abuse of food aid as a surplus disposal tool. Little is offered [to] the developing world. And finally, non-trade concerns are essentially ignored. That proposal is not consistent with the Doha Declaration. That declaration requires equal readiness to give and take. The element of give is inadequate in the US proposal.

Ladies and Gentlemen,

As the two largest importers and exporters of food and agricultural products in the world, we have both an interest and responsibility to ensure the success of the agricultural negotiations. We have responsibilities to the developing world and we should try and find ways together to meet those obligations. Both the US and EU will also want to continue to support farmers and rural areas for the foreseeable future, and we should seek common ground in order to be able to do so without making others pay.

Together we have the objective of meeting the established deadlines and achieving a comprehensive WTO Agreement. In order to do this, participants must move from their extreme positions and focus on that which is politically achievable. We are keen to cooperate with the US in these negotiations. Our cooperation is of course not a guarantee of success. But if we do not cooperate, the outlook for Cancun is not optimistic.

A cacophony of voices in Geneva—the US, Cairns, the EU and others—may be a good political game plan in the short term. But a beauty contest is no recipe for leadership. Instead, we must work together to ensure that Cancun is a successful milestone on the way to a success for the Doha Development Agenda. Thank you for your attention.

Commissioner Fischler’s Homepage:
 www.europa.eu.int/fischler

Press Releases and Speeches: www.europa.eu.int/comm/agriculture/press/index_en.htm

Agriculture Homepage: www.europa.eu.int/comm/agriculture/index_en.htm


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