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US STEEL IMPORT RESTRICTIONS

Steel: Action Against ImportsThe EU Perspective

 

IMPORTS ARE NOT THE CAUSE OF US STEEL INDUSTRY’S PROBLEMS

  • The US has traditionally been a large net importer of steel. Steel imports are an essential input for US manufacturing. It has been estimated that for every American worker producing steel, there are 50 workers in US industries using steel. All of those latter workers would be hurt by import restrictions on steel. A recent study by the CI-TAC Foundation documents this damage to US users of steel.
  • It is true that in 1998, as a result of the Asian financial crisis, US imports of steel increased by 10 million tons (falling back to an increase of 4 million tons in 1999 before increasing again in 2000). But the EU saw an even greater shift in its trade balance (see table attached). In fact, the EU became a net importer of steel, reversing its traditional position as a large exporter. Still, the EU did not experience the same problems in its industry as the US and does not face the same calls for import protection. What is the reason?
  • Firstly, it should be noted that sectors of the US steel industry, notably mini-mills and competitive integrated mills, are showing good financial results. For some producers (NUCOR, SDI), 2000 was a year of record profits.
  • The key problem faced by the majority of traditional, integrated steel mills in the US is legacy costs (health and pension costs for laid off and retired workers). This burden of financial obligations makes those companies unattractive candidates for consolidation into larger and more streamlined entities. As a result, there are no US companies among the top 10 largest producers in the world.
  • Part of the problem is also that US states and local authorities often subsidise local steel plants to open or stay open in their area. "Buy American" programs and federal loan guarantees also provide artificial support to keep uneconomic capacity in business.
  • Because uneconomic capacity was not sufficiently rationalized, total US productive capacity increased by 19 million tons between 1993 and 2000, as new mini-mills came on line.
  • Current price levels in the US are very low for some products. However, this is not caused by imports, but by falling demand and cutthroat competition among US producers. Imports have dropped to an average level for the last nine months that is well below traditional US import volumes.

EU STEEL INDUSTRY RESTRUCTURING IS SUCCESSFUL

  • The EU steel industry went through two major cycles of restructuring, in the 1980s and 1990s. The first cycle saw the removal of 31 million tons of outmoded, finished steel capacity and the second 19 million tons. The number of EU workers in the steel industry declined from almost 1 million in 1973 to around 270,000 today: a reduction of 730,000 workers. In the same period (1993-2000) that the US increased capacity by 18.9 million tons, the EU reduced capacity by 1.9 million tons. Importantly, EU restructuring in the 1990s was accomplished without import restrictions against WTO Members.
  • Assistance in the EU has been given to close uneconomic capacity, not to keep it alive. All competitive producers benefit from the closure of uneconomic facilities. EU producers do not receive production subsidies.
  • EU producers have been privatised and have consolidated into some of the largest and most efficient producers in the world. Of the top 10 largest producers in the world, 5 are European. As part of an on-going restructuring process in the EU, 3 of these plan to merge, creating the world’s largest steel producer. In the US, 12 companies produce two-thirds of total production. In the EU, 6 companies (4 after the merger) produce the same proportion of total production.
  • The elimination of uneconomic capacity through restructuring and consolidation has made the EU industry highly competitive. An example to illustrate this: the cost of producing one metric ton of hot band steel in 1999 was $241 in the EU, $262 in Japan, $280 in US mini-mills and $316 in US integrated mills.

UNILATERAL US IMPORT RESTRAINTS WOULD UNFAIRLY DIVERT US IMPORTS TOWARD THE EU AND SEND A DAMAGING POLITICAL SIGNAL

  • The threat of comprehensive, unilateral US import restrictions on steel imports from all non-NAFTA countries is very worrying to the EU. Such restrictions would affect EU exports of steel to the US. Even more, they would have the effect of exporting—through trade diversion—a domestic US problem to other markets around the world, in particular the EU. This would cause difficulties for a number of fragile economies in Latin America, Asia and the CIS that are still recovering from the Asian financial crisis. Such action would be simply unfair burden shifting at a time of a worldwide economic slow-down.
  • At a time when the US Administration has underlined its strong support for free trade and pursues important regional and global trade liberalisation initiatives, it would send the wrong political signal to the rest of the world to restrict imports of fairly traded steel products unilaterally.

Table 1. Total Trade of Steel

1000 t.

EU

USA

 

Imports

Exports

Balance

Imports

Exports

Balance

1997

16,422

29,027

12,605

28,848

5,636

-23,212

1998

23,600

24,400

800

38,268

5,165

-33,103

1999

23,000

22,200

-800

33,076

5,064

-28,012

Table 2. Variation of the Balance

 

EU

USA

 

%

(1000) Tons

%

(1000) Tons

1998/97

-94

-11,805

43

-9,891

1999/97

-106

-13,405

21

-4,800

Source: OECD, doc. DSTI/SU/SC(2001)1 of 6.2.2001

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